2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ NYG – Week 1 2020
PIT
NYG
PIT
AWAY
26@16
PIT +10
FINAL · WEEK 1
2020 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 55%Projected margin: -0.6
PIT
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-0.6
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 0.6. Actual: 10. Off by 9.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -253 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
180.0SEASON PPR
Sterling Shepard
WR
162.5SEASON PPR
Evan Engram
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PITW8 2024 | NYG 18, PIT 26 | PIT | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES