2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ BUF – Week 1 2020
NYJ
BUF
NYJ
AWAY
17@27
BUF +10
FINAL · WEEK 1
2020 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 55%Projected margin: 2.2
BUF
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
2.2
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 2.2. Actual: 10. Off by 7.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -279 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
BUF
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
67°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
100.2SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
396.1SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
328.6SEASON PPR
Cole Beasley
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@BUFW18 2025 | NYJ 8, BUF 35 | BUF | W |
| BUF@NYJW2 2025 | BUF 30, NYJ 10 | BUF | W |
| NYJ@BUFW17 2024 | NYJ 14, BUF 40 | BUF | W |
| BUF@NYJW6 2024 | BUF 23, NYJ 20 | BUF | W |
| NYJ@BUFW11 2023 | NYJ 6, BUF 32 | BUF | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES