2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ WAS – Week 1 2020
PHI
WAS
PHI
AWAY
17@27
WAS +10
FINAL · WEEK 1
2020 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 61%Projected margin: -7.4
PHI
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
-7.4
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A+-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but WAS won. Projected margin was 7.4 -- the model overestimated by 17.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 15.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -227 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
76°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
202.2SEASON PPR
J.D. McKissic
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW16 2024 | PHI 33, WAS 36 | PHI | L |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW8 2023 | PHI 38, WAS 31 | PHI | W |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES