2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ BAL – Week 1 2020
CLE
BAL
CLE
AWAY
6@38
BAL +32
FINAL · WEEK 1
2020 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER S
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 73%Projected margin: 13.7
BAL
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
13.7
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 13.7. Actual: 32. Off by 18.3 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 25.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -302 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
BAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
76°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
183.0SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@CLEW11 2025 | BAL 23, CLE 16 | BAL | W |
| CLE@BALW2 2025 | CLE 17, BAL 41 | BAL | W |
| CLE@BALW18 2024 | CLE 10, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CLEW8 2024 | BAL 24, CLE 29 | BAL | L |
| CLE@BALW10 2023 | CLE 33, BAL 31 | BAL | L |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES