2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ ATL – Week 1 2020
SEA
ATL
SEA
AWAY
38@25
SEA +13
FINAL · WEEK 1
2020 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 51%Projected margin: 2.2
ATL
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
2.2
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL C-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but SEA won. Projected margin was 2.2 -- the model overestimated by 15.2 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +102 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
Russell Wilson
QB
359.8SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
271.3SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
265.4SEASON PPR
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 1
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ATLW14 2025 | SEA 37, ATL 9 | SEA | W |
| SEA@ATLW7 2024 | SEA 34, ATL 14 | ATL | L |
| ATL@SEAW3 2022 | ATL 27, SEA 23 | SEA | L |
WEEK 1 · OTHER GAMES