ARI @ SF – Week 1 2020

SF A+-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.

Model picked SF but ARI won. Projected margin was 7.9 -- the model overestimated by 11.9 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 11.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.