2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ WAS – Week 16 2024
PHI
WAS
PHI
AWAY
33@36
WAS +3
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 64%Projected margin: -2.7
PHI
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but WAS won. Projected margin was 2.7 -- the model overestimated by 5.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.0 points.
COLD GAME
32°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -218 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
WAS
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
32°F
WIND
8 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
PHI
S.Barkley
RB
355.3SEASON PPR
J.Hurts
QB
315.1SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
216.9SEASON PPR
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW8 2023 | PHI 38, WAS 31 | PHI | W |
| WAS@PHIW4 2023 | WAS 31, PHI 34 | PHI | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES