NFL WEEK 16 2024 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 11-5 straight up in Week 16 2024.
The most confident pick, the Buffalo Bills at 85%, won 24-21.
Our most confident Week 16 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots, at 85% win probability.
No game on the Week 16 slate is a coin flip; every pick clears 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Arizona Cardinals at 68% win probability lost 30-36.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-4 (33%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 16 2024 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots, at 85% win probability.
No game in Week 16 2024 is a coin flip on our model; every pick clears 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 16, 2024, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 11-5 straight up in Week 16 2024.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Arizona Cardinals at 68% win probability lost 30-36. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-4 (33%) against a 66% all-time rate.