2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ GB – Week 16 2024
NO
GB
NO
AWAY
0@34
GB +34
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 76%Projected margin: 8.9
GB
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
8.9
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 8.9. Actual: 34. Off by 25.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.0 points.
COLD GAME
34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -950 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GB
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
34°F
WIND
12 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NO
A.Kamara
RB
265.3SEASON PPR
D.Carr
QB
150.9SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
122.8SEASON PPR
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
293.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
233.9SEASON PPR
J.Reed
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@GBW3 2023 | NO 17, GB 18 | GB | W |
| GB@NOW1 2021 | GB 3, NO 38 | GB | L |
| GB@NOW3 2020 | GB 37, NO 30 | GB | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES