2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ ATL – Week 16 2024
NYG
ATL
NYG
AWAY
7@34
ATL +27
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ATL 74%Projected margin: 8.0
ATL
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
8.0
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ATL. Projected margin: 8.0. Actual: 27. Off by 19.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 17.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -550 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NYG
M.Nabers
WR
273.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
182.3SEASON PPR
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@NYGW3 2021 | ATL 17, NYG 14 | NYG | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES