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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

NYG

ATL

NYG

AWAY

7@34

ATL +27

FINAL · WEEK 16

2024 SEASON

ATL

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

NYG	METRIC	ATL
-0.170	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.027
-0.107	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.034
+0.063	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.061
273	POINTS FOR	389
415	POINTS AGAINST	423
60.9%	PASS RATE	54.9%
59.1%	RED ZONE TD%	79.0%
26.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	26.7%

NYGANALYTICS →ATLANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+9.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

43.7

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

NYG

home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

ATL

No noteworthy trends

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

NYG

M.Nabers

WR

273.6PPR

W.Robinson

WR

182.7PPR

T.Tracy

RB

182.3PPR

ATL

B.Robinson

RB

341.7PPR

D.London

WR

280.8PPR

D.Mooney

WR

193.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 16

NYG9 LISTED

Greg Stroman

CB · Shoulder

DOUBTFUL

Patrick Johnson

LB · Knee

OUT

Aaron Stinnie

G · Concussion

OUT

Bobby Okereke

LB · Back

OUT

Austin Schlottmann

C · Fibula

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
ATL@NYGW3 2021	ATL 17, NYG 14

FULL COMPARISON →

NYG ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

ATL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@IND

30-38

NO@GB

0-34

CLE@CIN

6-24

HOU@KC

19-27

PIT@BAL

17-34

SF@MIA

17-29

MIN@SEA

27-24

← WEEK 16 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Tyrone Tracy

RB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Brian Burns

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Dyontae Johnson

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Deonte Banks

CB · Rib

QUESTIONABLE

ATL3 LISTED

Casey Washington

WR · Concussion

OUT

Lorenzo Carter

LB · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

KhaDarel Hodge

WR · Ribs

QUESTIONABLE

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

68.2%

Michael Penix Jr.ATL

TIME TO THROW

2.47s

Michael Penix Jr.ATL

SEPARATION

3.2 yds

Malik NabersNYG

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.5

Bijan RobinsonATL

AGGRESSIVENESS

23.1%

Drew LockNYG

AVG YAC

7.1 yds

Wan'Dale RobinsonNYG

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

ATL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

15.7%

BLITZ RATE

24.6%

MOTION

50.8%

RPO

1.7%

SCREEN

9.6%

NO HUDDLE

12.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NYG SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

27.4%

BLITZ RATE

25.3%

MOTION

33.1%

RPO

3.2%

SCREEN

10.2%

NO HUDDLE

10.1%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NYG ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

17.9%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

26.3%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.5

YAC/ATT

1.3

BROKEN TACKLES

21

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.5%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

90.8

MISSED TACKLE %

11.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

ATL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

23.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

2.0

BROKEN TACKLES

30

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

74.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.7

MISSED TACKLE %

13.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NYG @ ATL – Week 16 2024