2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ NYJ – Week 16 2024
LA
NYJ
LA
AWAY
19@9
LA +10
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER A
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LA 73%Projected margin: -6.4
LA
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-6.4
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 6.4. Actual: 10. Off by 3.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.0 points.
COLD GAME
23°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
road_favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)home_underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
23°F
WIND
8 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LA
K.Williams
RB
272.1SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
214.6SEASON PPR
P.Nacua
WR
206.6SEASON PPR
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@LAW15 2020 | NYJ 23, LA 20 | LA | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES