TIER A+PICK: KC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: KC 73%Projected margin: 7.1
GAME NARRATIVE
KC A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected KC by 7.1. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 0.9 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
COLD GAME
30°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
KC
divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HOU5 LISTEDFolorunso Fatukasi
DT · Ankle
OUT
John Metchie
WR · Shoulder
OUT
Christian Harris
LB · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS