2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ LA – Week 15 2020
NYJ
LA
NYJ
AWAY
23@20
NYJ +3
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER S
PICK: LA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 77%Projected margin: 12.9
LA
PICK SIDE
-17.5
SPREAD
12.9
PROJ MARGIN
-1241
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA S-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but NYJ won. Projected margin was 12.9 -- the model overestimated by 15.9 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 20.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -17.5 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1241 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1601 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
100.2SEASON PPR
LA
Robert Woods
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Cooper Kupp
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@NYJW16 2024 | LA 19, NYJ 9 | LA | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES