2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ BAL – Week 15 2020
JAX
BAL
JAX
AWAY
14@40
BAL +26
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER S
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 75%Projected margin: 10.8
BAL
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
10.8
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 10.8. Actual: 26. Off by 15.2 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 13.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -746 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
BAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
39°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR
157.1SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
183.0SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@JAXW15 2023 | BAL 23, JAX 7 | BAL | W |
| BAL@JAXW12 2022 | BAL 27, JAX 28 | BAL | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES