Seahawks vs Commanders – Week 15 2020
SEA
WAS
SEA
AWAY
20@15
SEA BY 5
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
Northwest Stadium · Landover, MD
WAS
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 20, Washington Commanders 15.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 54% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Seahawks, 4 Commanders.
Model confidence: SEA 54%Our line: SEA -1.3
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -6.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -1.3
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
54%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 15
+0.047Net EPA / play+0.023
+0.087 (11)Offense EPA / play-0.067 (29)
+0.040 (17)Defense EPA / play-0.091 (3)
48.2% (6)Offense success %41.2% (29)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 1.3. Actual: 5. Off by 3.7 points but directionally right.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.0 point, a bad-beat loss.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
8 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
WAS
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
Russell Wilson4212 yd · 40 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
Chris Carson681 yd · 5 TD
Russell Wilson513 yd · 2 TD
Carlos Hyde356 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
DK Metcalf83 rec · 1303 yd · 10 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@WASW3 2026 | SEA 31, WAS 33 | SEA | L |
| SEA@WASW9 2025 | SEA 38, WAS 14 | SEA | W |
| WAS@SEAW10 2023 | WAS 26, SEA 29 | SEA | W |
| SEA@WASW12 2021 | SEA 15, WAS 17 | WAS | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs WAS
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 54% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project SEA by 1.3. The market has SEA at -6.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 20, WAS 15. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 54% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -6.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 6.0 points.
In Week 15, the Seattle Seahawks were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Washington Commanders were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.7, 2.2 above the market.
Week 15 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Washington Commanders, SEA 31, WAS 33 in Week 3 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.047 against WAS +0.023.
