2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ DAL – Week 15 2020
SF
DAL
SF
AWAY
33@41
DAL +8
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: SF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SF 52%Projected margin: -2.0
SF
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
-2.0
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF C-tier pick misses. DAL takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SF but DAL won. Projected margin was 2.0 -- the model overestimated by 10.0 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 12.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -202 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
184.5SEASON PPR
Jeff Wilson
RB
142.3SEASON PPR
Kendrick Bourne
WR
129.7SEASON PPR
DAL
Amari Cooper
WR
236.8SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
223.7SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@SFW8 2024 | DAL 24, SF 30 | SF | W |
| DAL@SFW5 2023 | DAL 10, SF 42 | SF | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES