2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ MIA – Week 15 2020
NE
MIA
NE
AWAY
12@22
MIA +10
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 54%Projected margin: 1.8
MIA
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
1.8
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 1.8. Actual: 10. Off by 8.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +109 | Won · +$1.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
No noteworthy trends
MIA
Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NE
Cam Newton
QB
261.0SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
142.5SEASON PPR
James White
RB
116.6SEASON PPR
MIA
DeVante Parker
WR
166.3SEASON PPR
Myles Gaskin
RB
164.2SEASON PPR
Mike Gesicki
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@NEW18 2025 | MIA 10, NE 38 | NE | W |
| NE@MIAW2 2025 | NE 33, MIA 27 | MIA | L |
| NE@MIAW12 2024 | NE 15, MIA 34 | MIA | W |
| MIA@NEW5 2024 | MIA 15, NE 10 | MIA | W |
| NE@MIAW8 2023 | NE 17, MIA 31 | MIA | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES