KC @ NO – Week 15 2020

NO C-tier pick misses. KC takes it.

Model picked NO but KC won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 1.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.