2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ CIN – Week 15 2020
PIT
CIN
PIT
AWAY
17@27
CIN +10
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER S
PICK: PIT
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PIT 72%Projected margin: -10.0
PIT
PICK SIDE
-14.5
SPREAD
-10.0
PROJ MARGIN
-806
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT S-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PIT but CIN won. Projected margin was 10.0 -- the model overestimated by 20.0 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 24.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -806 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -942 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
CIN
Tee Higgins
WR
194.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Boyd
WR
192.6SEASON PPR
Joe Burrow
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@PITW11 2025 | CIN 12, PIT 34 | PIT | W |
| PIT@CINW7 2025 | PIT 31, CIN 33 | PIT | L |
| CIN@PITW18 2024 | CIN 19, PIT 17 | PIT | L |
| PIT@CINW13 2024 | PIT 44, CIN 38 | PIT | W |
| CIN@PITW16 2023 | CIN 11, PIT 34 | CIN | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES