2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ GB – Week 15 2020
CAR
GB
CAR
AWAY
16@24
GB +8
FINAL · WEEK 15
2020 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 73%Projected margin: 9.5
GB
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
9.5
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected GB by 9.5. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 1.5 points of the real margin.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
COLD GAME
33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -419 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
33°F
WIND
5 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CAR
Teddy Bridgewater
QB
241.2SEASON PPR
Robbie Chosen
WR
224.1SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
212.1SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@GBW9 2025 | CAR 16, GB 13 | GB | L |
| GB@CARW16 2023 | GB 33, CAR 30 | GB | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES