2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ ATL – Week 4 2021
WAS
ATL
WAS
AWAY
34@30
WAS +4
FINAL · WEEK 4
2021 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 55%Projected margin: -2.7
WAS
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected WAS by 2.7. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.3 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -117 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
WAS
Antonio Gibson
RB
229.1SEASON PPR
Taylor Heinicke
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
213.5SEASON PPR
ATL
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB
234.6SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Kyle Pitts
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@ATLW4 2025 | WAS 27, ATL 34 | WAS | L |
| ATL@WASW17 2024 | ATL 24, WAS 30 | WAS | W |
| WAS@ATLW6 2023 | WAS 24, ATL 16 | ATL | L |
| ATL@WASW12 2022 | ATL 13, WAS 19 | WAS | W |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES