2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ MIN – Week 4 2021
CLE
MIN
CLE
AWAY
14@7
CLE +7
FINAL · WEEK 4
2021 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 55%Projected margin: -3.3
CLE
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
-3.3
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 3.3. Actual: 7. Off by 3.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -105 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
215.3SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
180.9SEASON PPR
Jarvis Landry
WR
133.0SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@CLEW5 2025 | MIN 21, CLE 17 | MIN | W |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES