TIER SPICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 74%Projected margin: 12.1
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 12.1. Actual: 40. Off by 27.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
BUF
Divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HOU6 LISTEDDeshaun Watson
QB · Not injury related - personal matter
OUT
Jimmy Moreland
CB · Illness
OUT
Scottie Phillips
RB · Illness
OUT
Terrance Mitchell
CB · Concussion
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS