CIN @ HOU – Week 16 2020

HOU B-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.

Model picked HOU but CIN won. Projected margin was 1.8 -- the model overestimated by 7.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 13.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.