NoPunt went 11-5 straight up in Week 16 2020.
The most confident pick, the Kansas City Chiefs at 73%, won 17-14.
Our most confident Week 16 pick is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Atlanta Falcons, at 73% win probability.
4 of 16 games on the Week 16 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Cleveland Browns at 68% win probability lost 16-23.
The A+-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-1 (67%) against a 75% all-time rate.
Movers start next week. This is the first Wednesday regeneration this week has on record.
The games the model flags as bets, with Kelly reference sizing. The full analytical read for every game is already free.
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