2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ JAX – Week 16 2020
CHI
JAX
CHI
AWAY
41@17
CHI +24
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
JAX
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CHI 63%Projected margin: -6.9
CHI
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
-6.9
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CHI. Projected margin: 6.9. Actual: 24. Off by 17.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -452 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CHI
David Montgomery
RB
264.8SEASON PPR
Allen Robinson
WR
262.9SEASON PPR
Mitchell Trubisky
QB
153.7SEASON PPR
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX@CHIW6 2024 | JAX 16, CHI 35 | CHI | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES