2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ WAS – Week 16 2020
CAR
WAS
CAR
AWAY
20@13
CAR +7
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 58%Projected margin: 2.6
WAS
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
2.6
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick misses. CAR takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but CAR won. Projected margin was 2.6 -- the model overestimated by 9.6 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +102 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
41°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CAR
Teddy Bridgewater
QB
241.2SEASON PPR
Robbie Chosen
WR
224.1SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
212.1SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
202.2SEASON PPR
J.D. McKissic
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@WASW7 2024 | CAR 7, WAS 40 | WAS | W |
| WAS@CARW11 2021 | WAS 27, CAR 21 | CAR | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES