2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ DAL – Week 16 2020
PHI
DAL
PHI
AWAY
17@37
DAL +20
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 55%Projected margin: 1.1
DAL
PICK SIDE
+3.0
SPREAD
1.1
PROJ MARGIN
+154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 1.1. Actual: 20. Off by 18.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 23.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +149 | Won · +$1.54 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1SEASON PPR
DAL
Amari Cooper
WR
236.8SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
223.7SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@DALW12 2025 | PHI 21, DAL 24 | PHI | L |
| DAL@PHIW1 2025 | DAL 20, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
| DAL@PHIW17 2024 | DAL 7, PHI 41 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DALW10 2024 | PHI 34, DAL 6 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DALW14 2023 | PHI 13, DAL 33 | DAL | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES