2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ GB – Week 16 2020
TEN
GB
TEN
AWAY
14@40
GB +26
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 54%Projected margin: 0.9
GB
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
0.9
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 0.9. Actual: 26. Off by 25.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 23.0 points.
COLD GAME
28°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -177 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
28°F
WIND
15 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
344.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
333.1SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
247.5SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@TENW3 2024 | GB 30, TEN 14 | GB | W |
| TEN@GBW11 2022 | TEN 27, GB 17 | TEN | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES