Rams vs Seahawks – Week 16 2020
LA
SEA
LA
AWAY
9@20
SEA BY 11
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Los Angeles Rams 9, Seattle Seahawks 20.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 51% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Rams, 2 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 51%Our line: SEA -0.4
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -1.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -0.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
51%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 16
+0.162Net EPA / play+0.047
-0.015 (23)Offense EPA / play+0.087 (11)
-0.177 (1)Defense EPA / play+0.040 (17)
44.5% (20)Offense success %48.2% (6)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 0.4. Actual: 11. Off by 10.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LA
No noteworthy trends
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
2 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles RamsPASSING
Jared Goff3952 yd · 20 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
Cam Akers625 yd · 2 TD
Darrell Henderson624 yd · 5 TD
Malcolm Brown419 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| LA@SEAW9 2024 | LA 26, SEA 20 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW11 2023 | SEA 16, LA 17 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 51% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 0.4. The market has SEA at -1.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, LA 9, SEA 20. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 51% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -1.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 1.5 points.
In Week 16, the Los Angeles Rams were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 48.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 48.4, 0.4 above the market.
Week 16 of the 2020 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, LA 37, SEA 38 in Week 16 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Los Angeles Rams: LA +0.162 against SEA +0.047.
