2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ NO – Week 16 2020
MIN
NO
MIN
AWAY
33@52
NO +19
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NO 61%Projected margin: 3.9
NO
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
3.9
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 3.9. Actual: 19. Off by 15.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -302 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
No noteworthy trends
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
274.2SEASON PPR
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@MINW10 2023 | NO 19, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
| MIN@NOW4 2022 | MIN 28, NO 25 | MIN | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES