NYJ @ TEN · Week 2 2024

Q: Who is favored in New York Jets at Tennessee Titans?

Our model takes New York Jets at 59% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project NYJ by 2.9. The market has NYJ at -3.5.

Q: When do the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans play?

Week 2 of the 2024 season, SUN 1:00 PM.

Q: Who won the last New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans game?

New York Jets, TEN 24, NYJ 27 in Week 4 of 2021.

Q: Which team has been better, the New York Jets or the Tennessee Titans?

By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, New York Jets: NYJ -0.037 against TEN -0.146.

NYJ

TEN

NYJ

AWAY

24@17

NYJ BY 7

FINAL · WEEK 2

2024 SEASON

Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN

TEN

HOME

PICK: NYJ

TIER C

PICK WONATS ✓

NYJ 59%

TEN 41%

Model confidence: NYJ 59%

Our line: NYJ -2.9

NYJ

PICK SIDE

-3.5

MARKET SPREAD

-2.9

OUR LINE

-142

OUR ML

—

LIVE ML

COVERED

VS SPREAD

TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2

NYJ	METRIC	TEN
-0.037	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.146
-0.013	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.116
+0.024	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.030
338	POINTS FOR	311
404	POINTS AGAINST	460
64.4%	PASS RATE	56.5%

EFFICIENCY SPLIT2024 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE

-0.037Net EPA / play-0.146

-0.013Offense EPA / play-0.116

+0.024Defense EPA / play+0.030

42.6%Offense success %39.9%

43.2%Defense success %

GAME NARRATIVE

NYJ C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.

CORRECT

Model correctly picked NYJ. Projected margin: 2.9. Actual: 7. Off by 4.1 points but directionally right.

INSTANT CLASSIC

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

COVERED

This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.

Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.

BETTING LINE

SOURCE	NYJ	TEN
Closing line	-180	+150
Our fair price	-142	+142

Our fair price carries no vig, so it is what the bet is worth, not what anyone will offer you.

SPREAD NYJ -3.5 · nflverse market average, not one book's number
RESULT Won · +$0.61

OUR NUMBER

59%

MARKET, VIG REMOVED

62%

DIFFERENCE

-3%

Both figures are for NYJ. The market number strips the margin out first, so the two sides are measured the same way.

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.

NYJ

road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)

TEN

divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

80°F

WIND

13 MPH

IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY

TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON

NYJ

A.Rodgers

QB

256.6 SEASON PPR

G.Wilson

WR

251.9 SEASON PPR

B.Hall

RB

240.9 SEASON PPR

TEN

DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT

New York Jets

PASSING

A.Rodgers3897 yd · 28 TD · 11 INT

RUSHING

B.Hall876 yd · 5 TD

B.Allen334 yd · 2 TD

I.Davis174 yd · 1 TD

RECEIVING

G.Wilson101 rec · 1104 yd · 7 TD

D.Adams67 rec · 854 yd · 7 TD

INJURY REPORTWEEK 2

NYJ2 LISTED

D.J. Reed

CB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Micheal Clemons

DE · Triceps

QUESTIONABLE

TEN0 LISTED

NO INJURIES REPORTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING

GAME	SCORE	PICK	RESULT
TEN@NYJW4 2021	TEN 24, NYJ 27	TEN	L

FULL COMPARISON →

COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs TEN

QUESTIONS

Who is favored in New York Jets at Tennessee Titans?

When do the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans play?

Who won the last New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans game?

Which team has been better, the New York Jets or the Tennessee Titans?

WHAT PRO ADDS

Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.

See the Edge