Jets vs Titans – Week 2 2024
NYJ
TEN
NYJ
AWAY
24@17
NYJ BY 7
FINAL · WEEK 2
2024 SEASON
Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
TEN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Jets 24, Tennessee Titans 17.
Going in, our model had favored New York Jets at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
Model confidence: NYJ 59%Our line: NYJ -2.9
ODDS
SPREAD
NYJ -3.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NYJ -2.9
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
NYJ · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
59%
NYJ · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
62%
DIFFERENCE
-3%
| SOURCE | NYJ | TEN | NYJ WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | -180 | +150 | 62.1% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.037Net EPA / play-0.146
-0.013 (17)Offense EPA / play-0.116 (30)
+0.024 (20)Defense EPA / play+0.030 (21)
42.6% (18)Offense success %39.9% (29)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYJ C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYJ. Projected margin: 2.9. Actual: 7. Off by 4.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
TEN
divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
80°F
WIND
13 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@TENW1 2026 | NYJ 23, TEN 10 | TEN | L |
| TEN@NYJW4 2021 | TEN 24, NYJ 27 | TEN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs TEN
Our model takes New York Jets at 59% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project NYJ by 2.9. The market has NYJ at -3.5.
New York Jets won, NYJ 24, TEN 17. Our model had favored New York Jets at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New York Jets at -3.5, meaning the book expects New York Jets to win by 3.5 points.
Week 2 of the 2024 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Jets, NYJ 23, TEN 10 in Week 1 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, New York Jets: NYJ -0.037 against TEN -0.146.
