2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ PHI – Week 2 2024
ATL
PHI
ATL
AWAY
22@21
ATL +1
FINAL · WEEK 2
2024 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 67%Projected margin: 4.4
PHI
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
4.4
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. ATL takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but ATL won. Projected margin was 4.4 -- the model overestimated by 5.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 15 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -265 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
No noteworthy trends
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
193.2SEASON PPR
PHI
S.Barkley
RB
355.3SEASON PPR
J.Hurts
QB
315.1SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@ATLW1 2021 | PHI 32, ATL 6 | ATL | L |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES