2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ ARI – Week 2 2024
LA
ARI
LA
AWAY
10@41
ARI +31
FINAL · WEEK 2
2024 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 67%Projected margin: -4.3
LA
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
-4.3
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but ARI won. Projected margin was 4.3 -- the model overestimated by 35.3 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 32.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -112 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
road_favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)home_underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
ARI
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LA
K.Williams
RB
272.1SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
214.6SEASON PPR
P.Nacua
WR
206.6SEASON PPR
ARI
K.Murray
QB
297.2SEASON PPR
J.Conner
RB
253.8SEASON PPR
T.McBride
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@LAW18 2025 | ARI 20, LA 37 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW14 2025 | LA 45, ARI 17 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW17 2024 | ARI 9, LA 13 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW12 2023 | LA 37, ARI 14 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW6 2023 | ARI 9, LA 26 | LA | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES