Rams vs Cardinals – Week 2 2024
LA
ARI
LA
AWAY
10@41
ARI BY 31
FINAL · WEEK 2
2024 SEASON
State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
ARI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Los Angeles Rams 10, Arizona Cardinals 41.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 1 Rams.
Model confidence: LA 67%Our line: LA -5.8
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -1.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -5.8
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
LA · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
50%
DIFFERENCE
+17%
| SOURCE | LA | ARI | LA WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | -112 | -108 | 50.5% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.030Net EPA / play+0.011
+0.014 (16)Offense EPA / play+0.067 (11)
+0.044 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.056 (26)
46.8% (10)Offense success %47.3% (8)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but ARI won. Projected margin was 5.8, the model overestimated by 36.8 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 32.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LA
road_favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)home_underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
ARI
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@LAW6 2026 | ARI 18, LA 16 | LA | L |
| ARI@LAW18 2025 | ARI 20, LA 37 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW14 2025 | LA 45, ARI 17 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW17 2024 | ARI 9, LA 13 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW12 2023 | LA 37, ARI 14 | LA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs ARI
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LA by 5.8. The market has LA at -1.0.
Arizona Cardinals won, LA 10, ARI 41. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -1.0, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 1.0 points.
In Week 2, the Los Angeles Rams were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2024 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Arizona Cardinals, ARI 18, LA 16 in Week 6 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Arizona Cardinals: LA -0.030 against ARI +0.011.
