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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

JAX

AWAY

16@32

JAX +16

FINAL · WEEK 7

2024 SEASON

JAX

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TEAM COMPARISON

NE	METRIC	JAX
-0.153	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.149
-0.083	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.020
+0.070	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.129
289	POINTS FOR	320
417	POINTS AGAINST	435
57.1%	PASS RATE	58.9%
66.7%	RED ZONE TD%	82.6%
19.2%	4TH DOWN GO%	21.9%

NEANALYTICS →JAXANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+6.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.8

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

NE

No noteworthy trends

JAX

divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)home_underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

63°F

WIND

12 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

NE

D.Maye

QB

177.1PPR

R.Stevenson

RB

175.9PPR

D.Douglas

WR

147.7PPR

JAX

B.Thomas

WR

284.0PPR

T.Lawrence

QB

145.7PPR

T.Etienne

RB

130.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 7

NE8 LISTED

Vederian Lowe

T · Ankle

OUT

Michael Jordan

G · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Sione Takitaki

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Marco Wilson

CB · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
JAX@NEW17 2021	JAX 10, NE 50

FULL COMPARISON →

NE ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

JAX ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES

CAR@WAS

7-40

NYJ@PIT

15-37

LV@LA

15-20

HOU@GB

22-24

SEA@ATL

34-14

DET@MIN

31-29

PHI@NYG

28-3

← WEEK 7 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Curtis Jacobs

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Jonathan Jones

CB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Javon Baker

WR · Illness

QUESTIONABLE

JAX2 LISTED

Travis Etienne

RB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Tyson Campbell

CB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

JAX SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

24.3%

BLITZ RATE

24.4%

MOTION

27.6%

RPO

3.1%

SCREEN

10.2%

NO HUDDLE

10.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

77.1%

Trevor LawrenceJAX

TIME TO THROW

2.41s

Trevor LawrenceJAX

SEPARATION

6.1 yds

Evan EngramJAX

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.1

Tank BigsbyJAX

AGGRESSIVENESS

16.2%

Drake MayeNE

AVG YAC

5.8 yds

Brian Thomas Jr.JAX

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

NE SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

21.4%

BLITZ RATE

29.4%

MOTION

31.1%

RPO

5.3%

SCREEN

10.8%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

JAX ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

17.0%

DROP %

4.1%

PRESSURE %

15.3%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.6

YAC/ATT

1.9

BROKEN TACKLES

19

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.0%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.7

MISSED TACKLE %

11.8%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

26.2%

DROP %

5.1%

PRESSURE %

22.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.8

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.6

MISSED TACKLE %

8.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE @ JAX – Week 7 2024