2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ NE – Week 17 2021
JAX
NE
JAX
AWAY
10@50
NE +40
FINAL · WEEK 17
2021 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER S
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 74%Projected margin: 10.9
NE
PICK SIDE
-17.5
SPREAD
10.9
PROJ MARGIN
-1241
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 10.9. Actual: 40. Off by 29.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 22.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -17.5 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1241 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1056 | Won · +$0.08 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
JAX
Trevor Lawrence
QB
199.0SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
180.2SEASON PPR
James Robinson
RB
173.9SEASON PPR
NE
Mac Jones
QB
224.9SEASON PPR
Damien Harris
RB
210.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@JAXW7 2024 | NE 16, JAX 32 | JAX | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES