TIER CPICK: CLE
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 49%Projected margin: 0.5
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE C-tier pick misses. PIT takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CLE but PIT won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 11.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.0 points.
COLD GAME
25°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
CLE5 LISTEDJohn Johnson
S · Hamstring
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS