2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ JAX – Week 12 2020
CLE
JAX
CLE
AWAY
27@25
CLE +2
FINAL · WEEK 12
2020 SEASON
JAX
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 67%Projected margin: -8.3
CLE
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
-8.3
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 8.3. Actual: 2. Off by 6.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 13 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -334 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
1 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@JAXW2 2024 | CLE 18, JAX 13 | CLE | W |
| JAX@CLEW14 2023 | JAX 27, CLE 31 | JAX | L |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES