MIN @ SF – Week 12 2021

MIN C-tier pick misses. SF takes it.

Model picked MIN but SF won. Projected margin was 0.2 -- the model overestimated by 7.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 4.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.