MIN @ NYJ – Week 17 2026
MIN
NYJ
MIN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
Model confidence: MIN 73%Projected margin: -5.8
MIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.016Net EPA / play-0.274
-0.116Offense EPA / play-0.127
-0.100Defense EPA / play+0.147
42.6%Offense success %40.7%
41.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in MIN @ NYJ (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 73.0% confidence and projects MIN by 5.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | MIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
NYJ
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
J.McCarthy1632 yd · 11 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
J.Mason758 yd · 6 TD
A.Jones548 yd · 2 TD
J.McCarthy181 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
J.Jefferson84 rec · 1048 yd · 2 TD
J.Addison42 rec · 610 yd · 3 TD
J.Nailor29 rec · 444 yd · 4 TD
T.Hockenson51 rec · 438 yd · 3 TD
VS
1,632PASSyds1,259
1,487RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@MINW5 2024 | NYJ 17, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
| NYJ@MINW13 2022 | NYJ 22, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs NYJ
Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets?
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 73% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 5.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets game?
Minnesota Vikings, 17-23 in Week 5 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Minnesota Vikings or the New York Jets?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Minnesota Vikings: MIN -0.016 against NYJ -0.274.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
