Vikings vs Jets – Week 17 2026
MIN
NYJ
MIN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYJ
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Vikings over the Jets at 75% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: MIN 75%Our line: MIN -9.2
80% range around our line: NYJ by 8 to MIN by 27. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the MIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
MIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
MIN -9.2
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
MIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
75%
MIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
63%
DIFFERENCE
+12%
| SPORTSBOOK | MIN | NYJ | MIN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.111Net EPA / play+0.037
-0.099 (28)Offense EPA / play-0.025 (20)
-0.210 (1)Defense EPA / play-0.062 (5)
35.9% (32)Offense success %42.8% (16)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in MIN @ NYJ (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 75% confidence and projects MIN by 9.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
K.Murray662 yd · 2 TD · 2 INT
RECEIVING
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@MINW5 2024 | NYJ 17, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
| NYJ@MINW13 2022 | NYJ 22, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs NYJ
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 75% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 9.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings at 75% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, NYJ 17, MIN 23 in Week 5 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Minnesota Vikings: MIN +0.111 against NYJ +0.037.
