NYG @ DAL – Week 17 2026
NYG
DAL
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
DAL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: DAL 68%Projected margin: -4.3
DAL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-4.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.075Net EPA / play-0.070
+0.012Offense EPA / play+0.097
+0.087Defense EPA / play+0.167
42.1%Offense success %46.6%
47.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors DAL at 68%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
DAL goes for it on 4th down 30% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
DAL has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against NYG.
Net-positive signal profile for DAL. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | DAL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
DAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Dart2272 yd · 15 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
T.Tracy740 yd · 2 TD
J.Dart487 yd · 9 TD
D.Singletary437 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
W.Robinson92 rec · 1014 yd · 4 TD
D.Slayton37 rec · 538 yd · 1 TD
T.Johnson45 rec · 528 yd · 5 TD
T.Tracy36 rec · 288 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,272PASSyds4,552
1,664RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYGW1 2026 | — | DAL | — |
| DAL@NYGW18 2025 | DAL 17, NYG 34 | DAL | L |
| NYG@DALW2 2025 | NYG 37, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs DAL
Who is favored in New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys?
Our model takes Dallas Cowboys at 68% win probability. The margin models project DAL by 4.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys game?
New York Giants, 17-34 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the New York Giants or the Dallas Cowboys?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Dallas Cowboys: NYG -0.075 against DAL -0.070.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
