Giants vs Cowboys – Week 17 2026
NYG
DAL
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX
DAL
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Cowboys over the Giants at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: DAL 61%Our line: DAL -3.7
80% range around our line: NYG by 14 to DAL by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the DAL game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
DAL —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
DAL -3.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
DAL · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
DAL · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
66%
DIFFERENCE
-5%
| SPORTSBOOK | NYG | DAL | DAL WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.054Net EPA / play-0.066
-0.019 (17)Offense EPA / play+0.127 (7)
+0.036 (22)Defense EPA / play+0.193 (32)
42.1% (20)Offense success %47.9% (6)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors DAL at 61%.
H2H EDGE
DAL has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against NYG.
DRIVE EFF
DAL scores 2.5 points per drive vs 1.4 for NYG. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for DAL. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NYG
I.Likely
TE
85.4 SEASON PPR
M.Nabers
WR
73.9 SEASON PPR
J.Winston
QB
52.4 SEASON PPR
DAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Winston805 yd · 6 TD · 3 INT
RECEIVING
M.Nabers29 rec · 329 yd · 2 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYGW1 2026 | DAL 20, NYG 28 | DAL | L |
| DAL@NYGW18 2025 | DAL 17, NYG 34 | DAL | L |
| NYG@DALW2 2025 | NYG 37, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs DAL
Our model takes Dallas Cowboys at 61% win probability. The margin models project DAL by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Dallas Cowboys at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, DAL 20, NYG 28 in Week 1 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.054 against DAL -0.066.
