Raiders vs Cardinals – Week 17 2026
LV
ARI
LV
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
ARI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Raiders over the Cardinals at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: LV 61%Our line: LV -3.7
80% range around our line: ARI by 14 to LV by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the LV game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
LV —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LV -3.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
LV · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
LV · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
54%
DIFFERENCE
+7%
| SPORTSBOOK | LV | ARI | LV WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -130 | +110 | 54.5% |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.001Net EPA / play-0.142
+0.004 (14)Offense EPA / play-0.018 (16)
+0.005 (19)Defense EPA / play+0.124 (29)
42.6% (17)Offense success %45.9% (12)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
LV is our early forecast in LV @ ARI (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 61% confidence and projects LV by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@LVW2 2022 | ARI 29, LV 23 | ARI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLV vs ARI
Our model takes Las Vegas Raiders at 61% win probability. The margin models project LV by 3.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Las Vegas Raiders at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Arizona Cardinals, ARI 29, LV 23 in Week 2 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Las Vegas Raiders: LV -0.001 against ARI -0.142.
