Colts vs Browns – Week 17 2026
IND
CLE
IND
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH
CLE
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Colts over the Browns at 58% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: IND 58%Our line: IND -2.6
80% range around our line: CLE by 15 to IND by 20. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the IND game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
IND —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
IND -2.6
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
IND · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
IND · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
DIFFERENCE
+3%
| SPORTSBOOK | IND | CLE | IND WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -135 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.150Net EPA / play-0.058
-0.051 (22)Offense EPA / play-0.080 (26)
+0.099 (27)Defense EPA / play-0.022 (15)
42.2% (19)Offense success %39.1% (28)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors IND at 58%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
IND goes for it on 4th down 28% of the time, among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
IND converts 78% in the red zone vs 50% for CLE. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
Net-positive signal profile for IND. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@INDW7 2023 | CLE 39, IND 38 | CLE | W |
| IND@CLEW5 2020 | IND 23, CLE 32 | IND | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs CLE
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 58% win probability. The margin models project IND by 2.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts at 58% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Cleveland Browns, CLE 39, IND 38 in Week 7 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Cleveland Browns: IND -0.150 against CLE -0.058.
