PHI @ SF – Week 17 2026
PHI
SF
PHI
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
SF
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: SF 61%Projected margin: -1.9
SF
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.105Net EPA / play+0.018
+0.026Offense EPA / play+0.088
-0.079Defense EPA / play+0.070
43.1%Offense success %48.3%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
SF is our early forecast in PHI @ SF (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 61.4% confidence and projects SF by 1.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | SF market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
SF
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
J.Hurts3224 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
S.Barkley1140 yd · 7 TD
J.Hurts421 yd · 8 TD
T.Bigsby344 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
D.Smith77 rec · 1008 yd · 4 TD
A.Brown78 rec · 1003 yd · 7 TD
D.Goedert60 rec · 591 yd · 11 TD
S.Barkley37 rec · 273 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,224PASSyds2,167
1,905RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@PHIW13 2023 | SF 42, PHI 19 | PHI | L |
| SF@PHIW2 2021 | SF 17, PHI 11 | SF | W |
| PHI@SFW4 2020 | PHI 25, SF 20 | SF | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs SF
Who is favored in Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers?
Our model takes San Francisco 49ers at 61% win probability. The margin models project SF by 1.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers game?
San Francisco 49ers, 42-19 in Week 13 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Philadelphia Eagles or the San Francisco 49ers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.105 against SF +0.018.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
