Steelers vs Titans – Week 17 2026
PIT
TEN
PIT
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
TEN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Steelers over the Titans at 74% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PIT 74%Our line: PIT -8.9
80% range around our line: TEN by 8 to PIT by 26. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PIT game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PIT —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PIT -8.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PIT · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
74%
PIT · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+21%
| SPORTSBOOK | PIT | TEN | PIT WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.046Net EPA / play-0.228
-0.046 (21)Offense EPA / play-0.149 (31)
+0.000 (18)Defense EPA / play+0.078 (25)
41.7% (21)Offense success %40.5% (25)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PIT at 74%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PIT generates -0.046 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.078. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 8.9-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for PIT. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@PITW9 2023 | TEN 16, PIT 20 | PIT | W |
| TEN@PITW15 2021 | TEN 13, PIT 19 | TEN | L |
| PIT@TENW7 2020 | PIT 27, TEN 24 | TEN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPIT vs TEN
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 74% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 8.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Pittsburgh Steelers at 74% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Pittsburgh Steelers, TEN 16, PIT 20 in Week 9 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Pittsburgh Steelers: PIT -0.046 against TEN -0.228.
