PIT @ TEN – Week 17 2026
PIT
TEN
PIT
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
TEN
HOME
Model confidence: PIT 73%Projected margin: -5.8
PIT
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.007Net EPA / play-0.260
+0.025Offense EPA / play-0.160
+0.018Defense EPA / play+0.100
44.0%Offense success %37.4%
43.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PIT at 73%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PIT generates 0.025 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
PIT scores 1.8 points per drive vs 1.0 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for PIT. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PIT market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PIT
A.Rodgers
QB
227.1SEASON PPR
K.Gainwell
RB
221.3SEASON PPR
J.Warren
RB
217.1SEASON PPR
TEN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Pittsburgh SteelersPASSING
A.Rodgers3322 yd · 24 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
J.Warren958 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell537 yd · 5 TD
K.Johnson69 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
D.Metcalf59 rec · 850 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell73 rec · 486 yd · 3 TD
P.Freiermuth41 rec · 486 yd · 4 TD
C.Austin31 rec · 372 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,322PASSyds3,169
1,564RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@PITW9 2023 | TEN 16, PIT 20 | PIT | W |
| TEN@PITW15 2021 | TEN 13, PIT 19 | TEN | L |
| PIT@TENW7 2020 | PIT 27, TEN 24 | TEN | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSPIT vs TEN
Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans?
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 73% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 5.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans game?
Pittsburgh Steelers, 16-20 in Week 9 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Pittsburgh Steelers or the Tennessee Titans?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Pittsburgh Steelers: PIT +0.007 against TEN -0.260.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
