DET @ CHI – Week 17 2026
DET
CHI
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
CHI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CHI 66%Projected margin: -3.4
CHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-3.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.091Net EPA / play+0.061
+0.081Offense EPA / play+0.080
-0.010Defense EPA / play+0.018
45.2%Offense success %45.8%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CHI is our early forecast in DET @ CHI (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 65.6% confidence and projects CHI by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
366.9SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
324.0SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
297.1SEASON PPR
CHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Detroit LionsPASSING
J.Goff4564 yd · 34 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Gibbs1223 yd · 13 TD
D.Montgomery716 yd · 8 TD
J.Goff45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.St. Brown117 rec · 1401 yd · 11 TD
J.Williams65 rec · 1117 yd · 7 TD
J.Gibbs77 rec · 616 yd · 5 TD
S.LaPorta40 rec · 489 yd · 3 TD
VS
4,564PASSyds3,942
1,984RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@DETW12 2026 | — | DET | — |
| DET@CHIW18 2025 | DET 19, CHI 16 | CHI | L |
| CHI@DETW2 2025 | CHI 21, DET 52 | DET | W |
| DET@CHIW16 2024 | DET 34, CHI 17 | DET | W |
| CHI@DETW13 2024 | CHI 20, DET 23 | DET | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs CHI
Who is favored in Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears?
Our model takes Chicago Bears at 66% win probability. The margin models project CHI by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Who won the last Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears game?
Detroit Lions, 19-16 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Detroit Lions or the Chicago Bears?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: DET +0.091 against CHI +0.061.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
