TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
Early season: 4 games played for at least one team. These numbers and ranks will move fast.
+0.060Net EPA / play+0.087
-0.073 (25)Offense EPA / play+0.115 (8)
-0.133 (2)Defense EPA / play+0.028 (21)
41.5% (22)Offense success %44.1%
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
SEA is our early forecast in SEA @ CAR (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 63% confidence and projects SEA by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 63% win probability. The margin models project SEA by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Seattle Seahawks at 63% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 27, CAR 10 in Week 17 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Carolina Panthers: SEA +0.060 against CAR +0.087.
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average. Last synced Wed 8:00 PM ET.
OPEN · CURRENT · MODEL
MARKET
OPEN
CURRENT
MODEL
SPREAD
CAR +5.5
CAR +5.5
CAR +4.7
MONEYLINE
CAR +200
CAR +200
CAR +174
OPEN is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the true market opener. OPEN and CURRENT are the median across books, rounded to the half point. CURRENT excludes any price posted after kickoff.
(14)
38.3% (2)Defense success %43.5% (17)
+0.052 (16)Pass EPA / play+0.208 (6)
-0.218 (30)Rush EPA / play-0.057 (19)
26.8 (8)Points / game30.3 (4)
21.0 (8)Points allowed / game27.3 (26)
53.7%Pass rate64.9%
75.0%Red zone TD %72.7%
16.7%4th down go %26.7%
SeahawksPanthers
Likely final margins. Each team's shaded area is its win probability and the marker is our line. Four times in five the real margin lands between Seahawks by 22 and Panthers by 13. The peak is where we lean, not a forecast of the score.