Texans vs Packers – Week 17 2026
HOU
GB
HOU
AWAY
@
MON 8:15 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Packers over the Texans at 59% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: GB 59%Our line: GB -3.0
80% range around our line: HOU by 14 to GB by 20. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the GB game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
GB —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
GB -3.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
GB · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
59%
GB · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
DIFFERENCE
+4%
| SPORTSBOOK | HOU | GB | GB WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 | 55.4% |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 17 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.048Net EPA / play+0.018
+0.005 (13)Offense EPA / play-0.021 (18)
-0.043 (9)Defense EPA / play-0.039 (11)
42.4% (18)Offense success %40.7% (24)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our early forecast in HOU @ GB (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 59% confidence and projects GB by 3.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@GBW7 2024 | HOU 22, GB 24 | GB | W |
| GB@HOUW7 2020 | GB 35, HOU 20 | GB | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSHOU vs GB
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 59% win probability. The margin models project GB by 3.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Green Bay Packers at 59% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 17 of the 2026 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Green Bay Packers, HOU 22, GB 24 in Week 7 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Houston Texans: HOU +0.048 against GB +0.018.
