BAL @ CIN – Week 17 2026
BAL
CIN
BAL
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 17 · 2026 SEASON
CIN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CIN 61%Projected margin: -0.8
CIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.010Net EPA / play-0.138
+0.034Offense EPA / play-0.009
+0.024Defense EPA / play+0.130
44.6%Offense success %45.5%
44.1%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CIN is our early forecast in BAL @ CIN (Week 17, 2026). The model assigns 61.2% confidence and projects CIN by 0.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
BAL
D.Henry
RB
279.5SEASON PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
243.3SEASON PPR
L.Jackson
QB
214.9SEASON PPR
CIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Baltimore RavensPASSING
L.Jackson2549 yd · 21 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
D.Henry1595 yd · 16 TD
L.Jackson349 yd · 2 TD
K.Mitchell341 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
Z.Flowers86 rec · 1211 yd · 5 TD
M.Andrews48 rec · 422 yd · 5 TD
D.Hopkins22 rec · 330 yd · 2 TD
I.Likely27 rec · 307 yd · 1 TD
VS
2,549PASSyds1,809
2,285RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@BALW7 2026 | — | BAL | — |
| BAL@CINW15 2025 | BAL 24, CIN 0 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW13 2025 | CIN 32, BAL 14 | BAL | L |
| CIN@BALW10 2024 | CIN 34, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW5 2024 | BAL 41, CIN 38 | BAL | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSBAL vs CIN
Who is favored in Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals?
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 61% win probability. The margin models project CIN by 0.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals play?
Week 17 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals game?
Baltimore Ravens, 24-0 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Baltimore Ravens or the Cincinnati Bengals?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: BAL +0.010 against CIN -0.138.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
