2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ IND – Week 7 2023
CLE
IND
CLE
AWAY
39@38
CLE +1
FINAL · WEEK 7
2023 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 58%Projected margin: -1.4
CLE
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-1.4
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 1.4. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 0.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +150 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
No noteworthy trends
IND
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
201.2SEASON PPR
IND
Michael Pittman
WR
252.2SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
196.2SEASON PPR
Zack Moss
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@CLEW5 2020 | IND 23, CLE 32 | IND | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES